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Market Outlook Friday, May 18, 2012: 09:42

Hang Seng Index closed down 0.3% at 19,200 led by local banks and property stocks. Heavily weighted HSBC (5) fell 1.0% whilst BOC Hong Kong (2388), Hang Seng Bank (11) and Bank of East Asia (23) tumbled 1.1%-1.6%. Cheung Kong (1), Henderson Land (12), Wharf (4) and New World Development (17) shank 1.2%-3.0%. Tencent (700) added 2.5% since first quarter earnings beat market expectation. Consumption stocks rallied. Tingyi (322), Want Want China (151) and Hengan (1044) advanced 3.0%-4.3%. China Resources Power (836), the best performing index stock for a second day, rose 5.0%. HSCEI declined 0.4% although Shanghai SE Composite Index surged 1.4%. Negligible loan growth for large banks in the first two weeks of May put a drag on financial stocks. ICBC (1398), CCB (939), BOC (3988) slid 0.4%-0.9%. China Life (2628), Ping An Insurance (2318) and PICC P&C (2328) sank 1.0%-2.7%. China Cosco (1919), the worst performing HSCEI stock, lost 4.1%. Automobile and railway stocks rallied. Dongfeng Motor (489), Guangzhou Automobile (2238), China Railway Construction (1186) and China Railway Group (390) gained 2.2%-3.9%.

Hang Seng Index has been technically oversold with 9-day RSI at 21, giving an excellent buying opportunity for long term investors. We recommend an overweight position on large cap China stocks.

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Previous Market Outlooks
17/5/2012
16/5/2012
15/5/2012
14/5/2012
11/5/2012
10/5/2012
9/5/2012
 


This commentary/recommendation is for information only and is not to be construed as investment advice or as an offer to buy or sell securities. While the commentary/recommendation is compiled using sources believed to be reliable, no assurance or guarantee is given regarding its accuracy nor completeness. Neither GCap nor any other Guoco Group companies, (nor any employees or other persons connected with any of them) accepts any responsibility or liability arising from any use of this commentary/recommendation. To the extent permitted under applicable law, the above-mentioned companies or individuals may have used the research materials before publication. However, it is hereby declared that neither GCap nor the writer, at the time of writing, has interest in any of the securities mentioned in this commentary/recommendation.